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Benin Finance Chief Romuald Wadagni Claims Overwhelming Presidential Win

"The 49-year-old victor repeatedly highlighted Benin’s robust economic record during his ten years at the finance ministry"

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Romuald Wadagni, Benin’s long-serving finance minister, has swept to a decisive victory in the West African nation’s presidential election, capturing more than 94 percent of the vote according to provisional tallies.

Sacca Lafia, chairman of the independent electoral commission, declared the results late Monday evening during a national television broadcast.

He reported that voter participation reached 58.78 percent across the country.

Even before the official announcement, the election’s only opposition contender, Paul Hounkpè, graciously conceded defeat.

Hounkpè had earlier pledged to respect the outcome provided the process proved transparent and fair.

His swift acceptance removes any remaining hurdles for Wadagni to replace outgoing President Patrice Talon.

Analysts had widely expected Wadagni’s triumph after the opposition parties fell short of the 20-percent threshold in January’s parliamentary polls.

The result handed Talon’s two allied parties every one of the 109 seats in the National Assembly, clearing the path for a smooth transition of power.

The 49-year-old victor repeatedly highlighted Benin’s robust economic record during his ten years at the finance ministry.

In 2025, the economy expanded by seven percent, positioning the country among the most reliable performers in West Africa.

On polling day on Sunday, President Talon reflected on his tenure as he prepared to step down.

“I am leaving office with the feeling of having given my best, of having led the country to take some steps forward in all areas,” he told the nation.

He added: “Whatever the outcome of the vote, Benin has reached a milestone in its history.”

Despite its largely democratic credentials, Benin has faced serious stability challenges in recent months.

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Prosecutors announced in September 2024 that they had thwarted a suspected coup plot involving Olivier Boko, a prominent businessman and longtime friend of Talon who had ambitions for the presidency.

In December, a separate attempt by a group of military officers to overthrow the government collapsed after swift intervention by Nigeria.

Just weeks earlier, lawmakers had passed a constitutional change extending the presidential term from five to seven years.

Benin has emerged as one of West Africa’s most consistent economic performers over the past decade, delivering robust GDP growth even through global shocks like the COVID-19 pandemic, the Russia-Ukraine war, and regional disruptions.

Under President Patrice Talon (2016–2026), the country transitioned to lower-middle-income status in 2020 and sustained annual growth rates typically between 6% and 8%.

In 2024, real GDP expanded by 7.5%—the highest rate since 1990—driven primarily by strong performances in services and industry.

Preliminary data for 2025 shows even stronger momentum, with growth reaching 8.1% in the first three quarters, pushing the full-year figure well above initial forecasts.

The foundation of this expansion lies in targeted reforms and infrastructure investments outlined in the Government Action Program (PAG).

Phase I (2016–2021) focused on modernizing ports, roads, and energy infrastructure, while Phase II (2021–2026) emphasized industrial development and agricultural diversification.

These gains have translated into measurable improvements. Nominal GDP reached approximately $21.5 billion in 2024 and is projected to climb toward $27.5 billion by 2026. GDP per capita rose from about $1,482 in 2024 to around $1,635–$1,660 in 2025.

Foreign direct investment has increased, and the business climate has improved significantly, helping Benin move up global rankings.

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Fiscal discipline has played a supporting role. Revenue mobilization has strengthened since 2016 through better tax collection, while public spending has been contained.

The budget deficit narrowed, and public debt stabilized at moderate risk levels (around 53–57% of GDP).

An IMF programme has supported these efforts with policy and institutional reforms.

However, growth has not fully translated into broad-based prosperity.

Poverty remains elevated—around 40% at the lower-middle-income line in 2024—due to a large informal economy (estimated at nearly half of activity), low labor productivity, and limited quality job creation.

Most employment is still in low-productivity agriculture or informal services, with youth and women particularly affected.

Inequality reduction has been modest, relying heavily on in-kind transfers and social spending.

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