HighlightOil & Gas

Tinubu Reforms Drive Nigeria’s Energy Investment Surge – Olu Verheijen

"Nigeria has never lacked potential. We have oil. We have gas. We have sunlight, water, land, talent and scale. What we have lacked is conversion"

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By Samuel Akpan

Nigeria’s upstream investment share across Africa jumped from 4% before 2023 to about 40% in 2024 and 2025, with $10bn committed and a $50bn pipeline, as reforms reshape the sector.

Olu Verheijen, Special Adviser to the President on Oil and Gas, disclosed this on Thursday at the Nigerian-British Chamber of Commerce Energy Day 2026 in Lagos.

 She said President Bola Tinubu’s reforms are shifting Nigeria from untapped potential to measurable results.

Addressing industry leaders, investors, regulators and development partners, Verheijen noted: “Nigeria has never lacked potential. We have oil. We have gas. We have sunlight, water, land, talent and scale. What we have lacked is conversion — the discipline to turn resources into results.”

She explained that the administration inherited a sector crippled by unsustainable fuel subsidies, foreign exchange distortions, weak production and power sector debt.

“The government first moved to restore fiscal stability through the removal of fuel subsidies and foreign exchange reforms, describing both decisions as difficult but necessary,” she said.

Fiscal gains followed quickly. Total federation revenue climbed to about N21 trillion in 2024 from roughly N12 trillion in 2023, according to Verheijen.

Domestic refining also made strides. Local petrol production rose from virtually zero in 2023 to about 48 million litres per day.

 “For the first time in a generation, the majority of the petrol Nigerians consume is now refined locally rather than imported,” she stated.

That shift eased pressure on foreign exchange. Petrol import costs fell from about N2.3 trillion in Q1 2025 to less than N90 billion in the same quarter a year later.

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Crude output improved as well. Oil and condensate production averaged 1.64 million barrels per day in 2025, up by roughly 400,000 bpd compared to 2023.

 More than $4bn in international oil company divestments were completed, opening space for indigenous firms onshore while majors focus on deepwater and gas.

Investment momentum is visible in projects like Bonga North, Ubeta and several gas developments, which Verheijen said are moving after years of delays.

She linked the progress to regulatory reforms and presidential directives aimed at competitiveness.

Gas is central to the industrial plan. Proven reserves now exceed 215 trillion cubic feet, with gross production rising from 6.83 billion standard cubic feet per day in 2023 to about 7.63 bscf/d.

 “Our objective is not simply to produce more gas, but to ensure Nigerian gas becomes Nigerian power, Nigerian products, Nigerian jobs and Nigerian exports,” she said.

Power sector liquidity is being tackled through the Presidential Power Sector Debt Reduction Programme.

The Federal Executive Council approved a bond programme of up to N4 trillion to settle verified debts to GenCos and gas suppliers.
GenCos have signed agreements worth about N2.28 trillion. The first N501bn bond tranche was oversubscribed, and a second N729bn tranche will complete phase one.

Metering and tariffs are also improving. The national metering rate has hit about 57% with hundreds of thousands of meters deployed annually.

Tariff reforms now place about 45% of consumers on cost-reflective tariffs tied to service quality, while subsidies are better targeted at vulnerable households.

Verheijen stressed that energy reforms affect daily life beyond oil and gas.

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 “When we speak of energy reform, we are speaking about the price of food, the cost of transport, the survival of small businesses, the strength of the naira and jobs for young Nigerians,” she said.

She urged British and Nigerian investors to deepen collaboration in financing, infrastructure, technology transfer and skills.

“Nigeria now offers not only potential but a clearer reform pathway and a growing pipeline of bankable projects.”

Looking ahead, Verheijen said the focus will be sustaining reforms, expanding energy access and delivering reliable power to support industrial growth and national development.

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